Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.301962 0.352546 0.405952 0.466251 0.532156 0.601733 0.680468
2025-01-26 0.236736 0.306788 0.385526 0.479426 0.587229 0.706063 0.845902
2025-02-02 0.189964 0.272243 0.370280 0.492960 0.639716 0.807185 1.010286
2025-02-09 0.146982 0.234301 0.344734 0.489505 0.669396 0.881096 1.144601
2025-02-16 0.118854 0.209930 0.331681 0.497984 0.711396 0.968968 1.296299
2025-02-23 0.093119 0.183852 0.312396 0.495315 0.737416 1.036576 1.424019
2025-03-02 0.068051 0.153477 0.282833 0.475279 0.738355 1.071305 1.510697
2025-03-09 0.054800 0.138852 0.273433 0.480879 0.771600 1.146196 1.647434
2025-03-16 0.040999 0.119869 0.254729 0.471023 0.782424 1.191365 1.746507
2025-03-23 0.035287 0.114618 0.256696 0.490747 0.833715 1.289648 1.914259
2025-03-30 0.027424 0.102805 0.246222 0.490535 0.856345 1.349828 2.033246
2025-04-06 0.021299 0.092844 0.237449 0.491811 0.880385 1.411647 2.154616
2025-04-13 0.017282 0.086864 0.235357 0.503863 0.921017 1.497709 2.310690
2025-04-20 0.014378 0.082814 0.236280 0.520588 0.968737 1.594133 2.481725
2025-04-27 0.011856 0.078880 0.236873 0.536552 1.015515 1.689867 2.652987
2025-05-04 0.008466 0.070292 0.226919 0.533863 1.033709 1.745848 2.771444
2025-05-11 0.006509 0.065596 0.224326 0.543400 1.070461 1.828086 2.925979
2025-05-18 0.004406 0.058486 0.215352 0.540894 1.088122 1.883252 3.044101
2025-05-25 0.002290 0.048138 0.196988 0.519836 1.075450 1.894347 3.101598
2025-06-01 0.001508 0.044314 0.193543 0.525881 1.105725 1.967354 3.244661
2025-06-08 0.000706 0.037818 0.181964 0.515484 1.108763 2.000458 3.332492
2025-06-15 0.000531 0.037341 0.186455 0.536439 1.163441 2.109730 3.527224
2025-06-22 0.000235 0.033398 0.180498 0.536235 1.182929 2.167214 3.649912